Lawmakers looking for a way to cut school property taxes got a gift from Comptroller Carole Keeton Strayhorn on the first day of their special session: They can spend $8.2 billion before they need to raise any taxes.And Strayhorn, who's also running for governor (not that THAT has anything to do with it), says the state could raise up to $7.7 billion more for education and other state programs with a combination of relative small taxes, video lotteries at race tracks and reinstatement of a government efficiency program in her office.
Gov. Rick Perry wants lawmakers to approve a new $5.9 billion tax on businesses that would replace the current corporate franchise tax and generate $4 billion or so in new money. That new money would be used to cut local school property taxes by up to 50 cents over the next two years.
The gross receipts tax worked up by a 24-member commission -- headed by former comptroller and Perry rival John Sharp -- has survived in the open field for two weeks without a fatal blow. That's some sort of a record for a tax bill, and some businesses have gone past neutrality on the thing and said they'll actively support it.
Lawmakers have held their cards close, however, and Strayhorn's announcement could undermine the chances for the tax bill; with all that money laying around, it'll be more difficult to get lawmakers to take the risk of voting on new taxes. They're in a position to deliver the goodies -- a local property tax cut and an escape from the courts on school finance -- without the perils of a tax hike on business.
That was enough of a problem a week ago, when the budget surplus was -- officially, anyhow -- only $4.3 billion. Strayhorn, citing growth in the economy, a boom in taxable sales and in taxable energy prices, added $3.9 billion to that number. You can get a copy of her revenue estimate on the comptroller's website (www.window.state.tx.us), but the short version is that she added $1.7 billion to her estimate for sales tax revenues, $719 million to her estimate on franchise taxes, and $2.5 billion to what she thinks will come into state coffers as a result of high oil and gas prices, and the taxes based on them.
Strayhorn didn't come out and say lawmakers ought to use the surplus on school finance -- she listed some suggestions she says would raise $7.7 billion every two years. But she said they don't need a new business tax like the one the governor is proposing. She'd use some of it, but would increase the amount going into the state's rainy day fund, to $2.4 billion. Using all of the surplus, she said, would set the table for a "massive tax increase" later.
She agreed with Perry and some others that lowering local school property taxes would keep the courts at bay in the short term, but she revisited her call for a $4,000 across-the-board pay raise for teachers, part of a $1.7 billion annual increase in spending she would add to the state's education budget.
She continued her assault -- begun last week -- on Perry's business tax. She says it runs up a deficit, since it relies on the budget surplus in the first year and then correct that imbalance in later years when there might or might not be extra money (Sharp contends growth in the state economy will fill the gap).