Democrat Donna Howard came just 73 votes of winning a special election for an Austin seat in the Texas House, surprising Republican Ben Bentzin and two others and setting up a runoff election for Valentine's Day or thereabouts.Howard got 6,705 votes in the HD-48 special election. Bentzin was second with 5,124 votes. Kathy Rider, another Democrat, got 1,416, and Libertarian Ben Easton won the support of 310 voters. In (rounded) percentages, that's Howard with 49.5 percent, Bentzin with 37.8 percent, Rider with 10.5 percent, and Easton with 2.3 percent. The winner will replace Todd Baxter, a Republican who quit the House in November to take a job as a cable television lobbyist. Baxter won a squeaker in 2002, convincing Democrats that the seat was winnable. The timing of his resignation -- and of Gov. Rick Perry's pick of a January date for a special election -- seemed to favor the GOP. So did the fact that Bentzin's camp was able to talk other Republicans out of the race, hoping to consolidate conservative votes while Democrats were splitting the support of their voters in the district among more than one candidate. It didn't turn out that way. Howard and Bentzin fought it out in mailboxes and on TV, while Rider and Easton lagged behind. Bentzin spent more and got a late visit and renewed endorsement from Perry, but Howard's voters turned out in strength on Election Day. She lost the early voting to the Republican, getting 40 percent to his 46 percent, but she got almost 55 percent of the Election Day vote and almost won outright; 73 more votes would have put her over the top. Bentzin got only 34 percent of the Election Day vote. What looked like a Republican advantage now appears to be a Democratic one; to overcome Howard, Bentzin will have to fish in Democratic waters, convincing voters who supported Howard and Rider in the first round to trade in their blue jerseys for red ones. Between them, the two Democrats got 60 percent of the votes cast. Bentzin's campaign will apparently press on with a runoff. One strategy would be to skip that contest with its long odds and hope for a better showing in November, when he'll be the sole Republican seeking a full term in the seat. Instead, they'll try to flip the special election result in the runoff. Travis County's Elections department has the official (uncanvassed) account:
www.co.travis.tx.us/county_clerk/election/results.asp.

Terry Keel hasn't vanquished all those pesky judges just yet. Keel, a Republican state representative from Austin who's running for Texas Court of Criminal Appeals, knocked Charles Holcomb and Robert Francis out of his primary because of questions about their election applications. Now, the Texas Supreme Court has agreed to hear both cases.The Texas Supreme Court will hear arguments on both cases next week. Keel knocked Holcomb, the incumbent, out of the race by successfully questioning the validity of signatures on the petition that accompanied the judge's election filing. After those names were struck, Holcomb didn't have the required number of signatures and lower courts took him off the ballot. The high court initially went along with that ruling, but pulled the case back and decided to hear arguments. Then Keel questioned Francis' filing, saying the Dallas Republican hadn't noted which seat on the court he was seeking in all of the places on the application where that was supposed to be noted. If the Supremes leave it be, Keel will be unopposed in the primary. If they put one or both of the other candidates back on the ballot, there'll be a little something extra to talk about in the March primaries.

HD-106, where Ray Allen has resigned to make way for a special election, is a Republican district, at least on paper. But Democrats think it's a swing seat.Allen beat back a challenge from Democrat Katy Hubener in 2004, getting 52.6 percent of the vote. Republicans will tell you he was a weakened candidate that year and that a normal Republican would do better; Democrats will say having George W. Bush at the top of the ballot boosted him and that the absence will hurt the next guy. Other Republicans on the ticket did better than Allen did, getting 55 percent (Judge Mike Keasler) to 59.4 percent (the aforementioned president). The Democrats are calling it a possible swing district, but it's not as close as the seat opened by Todd Baxter's resignation in Austin. Baxter won by less than 150 votes, and Bush got only 53 percent against John Kerry.

If you didn't get to the Texas Public Policy Foundation's conference in Austin, and either wanted to go or found out you missed something, you can listen to some of the speakers and panels on their website.They've posted the talks by House Speaker Tom Craddick, Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst, former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich, tax reformer John Sharp, and others and plan to put up digital audio files of other sessions in the next few days. Their website is www.texaspolicy.com. Click on "Multimedia."

Put Flores back on. Kleimann's fight is over. Creighton can exhale.• It looks like state Rep. Ismael "Kino" Flores, D-Palmview, will stay on the ballot. The notarization on his application for office didn't specify the district he was running in, and a staffer to Flores says they've been assured by the Secretary of State's office that he's okay and will be on the ballot. • David Kleimann won a TRO a week ago putting him back on the ballot; now the judge in that case has gone the rest of the way, ordering the GOP to put his name before Republican voters in March. Kleimann is one of four candidates looking to succeed Todd Staples, R-Palestine, in the Texas Senate. He was on the board of a local groundwater district that reimburses members for expenses, and state party leaders took him off the ballot for it. They contended his was a "lucrative position" under the law that protects state legislators from competition from local officeholders who are compensated for their work. A ruling in the other direction could have been bad news for Brandon Creighton, a Republican running for a Texas House seat now held by Ruben Hope Jr., R-Conroe. Creighton was one of Kleimann's colleagues on that water board.

If money is the mother's milk of politics, Democrats at the top of the Texas ballot are the runts of the litter.The two Democrats running for governor -- Chris Bell and Bob Gammage -- came in fourth and fifth in fundraising during the last six months of 2005. Gov. Rick Perry, a Republican, was in front, and two candidates trying to get on the ballot as independents -- Carole Keeton Strayhorn and Richard "Kinky" Friedman -- came in second and third. Perry, who faces three non-famous Republicans in the March primary, won't have any urgent need for money until later in the year. Strayhorn and Friedman need 45,540 signatures each to get on the ballot, and will have to gather them from registered voters after the primaries and runoffs are over and before May 12. They need to finance that. And Bell and Gammage walk into the March Democratic primary without much money and without much celebrity. Bell was a congressman and city councilman from Houston but hasn't run statewide before and isn't widely known outside of political circles in Texas. Gammage held a number of state and federal offices, including statewide positions in the courts. But he hasn't been on the ballot since 1990. In political terms, that's three presidents and four governors ago. Toss in a rule of thumb -- a week of significant television advertising time in Texas costs at least $500,000 -- and you see the obstacles. • Perry raised $4,665,778, spent $1,766,780, and ended with $11,530,875 in the bank. Perry got a $100,000 contribution from Alice Walton of Mineral Wells, and $50,000 each from ACC Capital Holdings PAC, Texas DENPAC (dentists), Big City Capital LLC (gambling), Robert Gillikin of Dallas, and John Speer of Houston. James Pitcock (contractor) gave $35,000. Johnny Baker, a real estate investor in Houston, gave 33,333, and Perry got $30,000 each from HOMEPAC (builders) and Houston restaurateur Tilman Fertitta. The governor got 34 donations of $25,000. • Strayhorn raised $2,429,916, spent $1,258,238, and ended with $8,118,673 in the bank. She got $100,000 each from George Ryan, a Dallas tax consultant, his firm's political action committee, Dallas dentist Dr. David Alameel, and lawyers Walter Umphrey of Beaumont and John Eddy Williams of Houston. Four of Ryan & Co's. executives each gave $50,000, bringing the total from that gang to $400,000 in the last six months of 2005. Strayhorn got $75,000 from Coastal Development LLC. She received $50,000 contributions from attorneys Mike Gallagher and Mark Lanier of Houston. She got $30,000 from Terry Gilmore, a San Marcos investor. Thirteen more contributors each gave $25,000. Strayhorn's report is sprinkled with people who ordinarily show up in the Democratic column. A few examples: Bernard Rapoport of Waco gave $5,000. Greg LaMantia of L&F Distributors in McAllen let her fly around in his plane. Ben Barnes gave $10,000. • Friedman raised $1,517,999, spent $1,059,186, and ended with $271,340 in the bank. He also had $110,000 in outstanding loans. • Bell raised $356,422, spent $195,052, and ended with $165,444 in the bank. Robert Turner, a real estate funds manager, gave $52,500. Stephen Sellers, who heads an investment firm in Houston, gave $10,000. Robert Ayres, retired, of Austin, gave $12,500. Dr. Andrew Kant of Houston gave $9,500. • Gammage raised $67,109, spent $11,723, and ended with $52,940 in the bank. He had $2,964 in loans. His contributors included Arthur Gochman, retired, of Katy, who gave $50,000, and attorney and former state Sen. Ted Lyons of Dallas, who loaned him a plane.

• The Texas Public Employees Association's PAC endorsed Frank Denton of Conroe in the four-way race for state Senate in SD-3. The group says there are 20,000 state employees in that district, working in prisons, a state school, a state hospital and elsewhere. • The Texas Farm Bureau took the first step toward endorsing Jimmy Don Aycock, R-Killeen, in the HD-54 race to succeed Suzanna Gratia Hupp, R-Lampasas. He got a unanimous vote from the local farm bureau folks, and that goes to the bureau's PAC board for a last look later this month. • The Texans for Lawsuit Reform PAC endorsed Republican Don Willett for Texas Supreme Court. He's a Perry appointee up for election for the first time, and faces former Justice Steven Wayne Smith in the March primary. • Rep. Carter Casteel, R-New Braunfels, got an endorsement from House Speaker Tom Craddick, even though the two were on opposite sides of several hard-fought education votes. She's got a March challenger. • Rep. David Swinford, R-Dumas, gets endorsements from other Republican officeholders in that area, including Sen. Kel Seliger and Rep. John Smithee of Amarillo, and Warren Chisum of Pampa.